Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.355015 0.420727 0.494046 0.581746 0.683622 0.798058 0.936160
2025-02-02 0.284790 0.377864 0.492648 0.643840 0.836891 1.074195 1.386949
2025-02-09 0.233389 0.336720 0.473885 0.667643 0.932357 1.279121 1.765096
2025-02-16 0.189030 0.292946 0.439771 0.659714 0.977561 1.416273 2.062665
2025-02-23 0.152627 0.252338 0.401349 0.636547 0.993704 1.509743 2.303839
2025-03-02 0.123430 0.216734 0.363602 0.606813 0.993187 1.574991 2.505903
2025-03-09 0.110692 0.204831 0.359823 0.627299 1.068903 1.757570 2.896288
2025-03-16 0.092563 0.180611 0.332282 0.605046 1.072927 1.828224 3.118066
2025-03-23 0.083455 0.170697 0.327112 0.618787 1.136091 1.996601 3.507657
2025-03-30 0.075295 0.161133 0.321026 0.629635 1.194504 2.161006 3.903035
2025-04-06 0.066114 0.148052 0.306614 0.623295 1.221264 2.273124 4.217994
2025-04-13 0.058515 0.136899 0.294243 0.618921 1.250398 2.390670 4.550290
2025-04-20 0.054399 0.132774 0.295755 0.642758 1.336958 2.622036 5.111849
2025-04-27 0.054746 0.138579 0.318260 0.711164 1.516229 3.038168 6.043868
2025-05-04 0.051143 0.134769 0.320068 0.737264 1.614689 3.311671 6.733181
2025-05-11 0.045200 0.124386 0.306217 0.728575 1.641817 3.451195 7.179855
2025-05-18 0.038887 0.111922 0.285912 0.703181 1.631285 3.515712 7.485780
2025-05-25 0.033013 0.099451 0.263725 0.670580 1.601510 3.538424 7.709660
2025-06-01 0.031084 0.097145 0.265426 0.693043 1.693722 3.816371 8.467404
2025-06-08 0.026877 0.087723 0.248257 0.668643 1.678535 3.869372 8.767051
2025-06-15 0.025094 0.084921 0.247433 0.683711 1.754647 4.121080 9.498761
2025-06-22 0.023326 0.081839 0.245448 0.695604 1.824353 4.364042 10.228865
2025-06-29 0.020962 0.076461 0.236528 0.688653 1.848267 4.507883 10.754787